The Caspian Sea, located along the shores of Kazakhstan, continues to experience a decline in water level. According to information from Tengrinews.kz, forecasts regarding the future of the Caspian Sea until 2050 have been released.
The Ministry of Ecology of the Republic of Kazakhstan reports that from 2006 to 2025, the shoreline has retreated by 30-35 kilometers in some areas.
Among the key factors contributing to the shallowing, experts highlight climate change, increased evaporation, reduced inflow of freshwater, and human activities.
The long-term forecast from "Kazhydromet" presents two scenarios for sea level changes — optimistic and pessimistic.
According to the optimistic scenario, by 2030, the sea level may drop to −29.8 meters according to the Baltic Sea level system, and by 2050 — to −32.4 meters.
At the same time, according to the pessimistic scenario, the level could reach −30 meters by 2030 and −34 meters by 2050 (using the same Baltic Sea level system).
This will result in the water receding from the shoreline, and coastal areas gradually turning into land.
“The problems of the Caspian Sea require international attention. Kazakhstan is initiating the creation of an Intergovernmental Program for the Protection of Water Resources in collaboration with other Caspian states. At a high level, the country calls on the scientific community to conduct joint research,” notes Tengrinews.kz.
The Baltic Sea Level System (BS) is a system used in several countries for measuring heights. The zero level in this system corresponds to the average level of the Baltic Sea recorded in Kronstadt, so heights can be above and below zero.
