Countries such as France, Germany, and Italy declined to participate in the council. At the same time, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan from Central Asia received invitations and signed the charter. The Akorda confirmed that Kazakhstan did not contribute $1 billion, as this is not a mandatory condition.
Kaktus.media gathered expert opinions on the reasons why Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan agreed to participate in the council, as well as the potential influence of this organization on Central Asia and the situation in the Middle East.
Arkady Dubnov
Political scientist Arkady Dubnov, speaking on the Kazakh channel Atameken Business, emphasized that Trump is interested in the rich resources of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. He ironically noted that the countries seem to be returning to "Soviet times," where all power is concentrated in the "council," but now under Trump's leadership.Dubnov pointed out that Trump's proposal is difficult to reject; however, some countries, such as France and the UK, have already expressed their unwillingness to participate, not hiding their motives. Kazakhstan, despite its resources and international status, finds itself in a vulnerable position among other global power centers. In his opinion, Tokayev's decision to join the council is quite reasonable, considering the current global situation. Uzbekistan, for its part, did not emphasize this event.
The expert also emphasized that Tokayev is Trump's "favorite," which was confirmed during their meeting in Davos, where they had a brief conversation.Tokayev jokingly reminded Trump that one of his decisions during his year in office was inviting Kazakhstan to participate in the Abraham Accords, which, according to him, Trump liked. Dubnov noted that Kazakhstan, being between China and the Russian Federation, must skillfully maneuver in international politics.
However, he also noted that there are certain risks for Kazakhstan associated with participating in this council.
Dubnov pointed to a potential threat to Kazakhstan's image.According to him, although the council plans to address issues related to Gaza, there is a likelihood that in the future, US operations against Iran may occur. Kazakhstan, as a neighbor of Iran, could find itself in a difficult position due to its role in the "Council of Peace" led by Trump. This could negatively affect Kazakhstan and Tokayev's image. The political scientist emphasized that joining the "Council of Peace" will not only bring benefits, and the risks should not be ignored.
The expert added that without the participation of countries like China, the UK, and France, the "Council of Peace" cannot be considered legitimate. However, if the situation in Gaza improves, it could strengthen the authority of the organization and Trump.
Kalnur Ormushev
Analyst Kalnur Ormushev noted that Trump, initiating the "Council of Peace" as part of a plan to regulate conflicts in Gaza, demands $1 billion from participants not only to resolve this situation but also to restore stability in other conflict regions.He believes that the "Council of Peace" could become an alternative to the UN and influence peacekeeping operations.
"Among the council's participants are significant figures such as Russian President Vladimir Putin. It is clear that the work of the 'Council of Peace' will address not only the problems of Gaza. Structures like the UN or the 'Council of Peace' can play an important role in establishing peace," he said.
Ormushev emphasized that Trump, being an experienced politician, seeks to create a more effective and dynamic organization than the UN, despite his age limitations. However, the success of the "Council of Peace" remains in question.
According to Ormushev, accepting Trump's invitation by Putin aligns with both Russian and international interests. Moscow is likely coordinating its actions with Beijing on this matter.
He also noted that the invitation to only Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan from Central Asia is explained by their weight on the international stage and economic indicators. Kazakhstan, being the largest country by territory and mineral reserves, and Uzbekistan by population and economic development, are of interest to Trump.
The analyst also noted that the presidents of Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan may be less attractive for participation in the "Council of Peace," considering their political stability and close ties with Russia and China.Ormushev added that there are no official news about Putin confirming his participation in the "Council of Peace." However, his recent statements about potentially directing funds for the reconstruction of the Middle East may indicate readiness to participate. He concluded that under international pressure, Russia must carefully choose its allies.
