According to Bloomberg, Bilal Erdogan is becoming an increasingly prominent figure in politics: his activities are regularly covered by state media, and the president is increasingly taking his son with him on foreign trips. He is expected to be undergoing informal training for political leadership and participating in personnel decisions within the party and government.
However, sources emphasize that the success of these political moves is not guaranteed. At the same time, the external and internal conditions for Erdogan appear to be more favorable: Turkey is strengthening its influence on the international stage, from Syria to Somalia, and the president maintains active contacts with U.S. President Donald Trump and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. The harsh measures against the opposition in the country have not led to significant political losses for the authorities.
Among the main risks for Erdogan, Bloomberg highlights the "cost of living crisis," which could negatively impact voter support, especially among pensioners. Although inflation remains above 30%, its rate is gradually slowing down, which could improve consumer sentiment and affect the results of future elections, analysts at Bloomberg Economics believe.
Additionally, the fate of the peace process with the Kurds remains a factor of uncertainty. Success in this direction could allow Erdogan to present the end of the conflict as a significant political achievement, while failure could push the authorities to return to harsh measures to mobilize the nationalistically inclined electorate.
