The average inflation rate for the entire year of 2025 is projected to be 8.2%, compared to the same period in 2024.
Prices for bread and cereals increased by 3.8%, which is mainly related to the rise in wheat prices in Kazakhstan and increased logistics costs.
The Ministry noted that the main factors included the rise in prices for feed, fuel, transportation costs, and an increase in purchase prices for livestock. An additional factor was the increase in export demand from neighboring countries, which, despite a 3.6% growth in domestic meat production, intensified pressure on meat product prices. Global inflation also played a role in this process.
As stated in the report, "global prices for beef and lamb have significantly increased year-on-year due to sustained demand for imports and limited supply for export."
Prices also rose due to increased logistics and storage costs against the backdrop of rising fuel and electricity prices, as well as increased production costs (seeds, fertilizers, fuel). Despite a 9.8% growth in domestic vegetable production and an 18.1% increase in fruits and berries, the high share of imports continues to exert pressure on the domestic market, the agency notes.
The rise in prices is also associated with global trends, such as the increase in world energy prices and ongoing logistics problems, which lead to higher transportation and additional costs. Furthermore, the rise in global prices for vegetable oils also affects the domestic market.
"An additional factor was the introduction of an export duty on sunflower in Russia in December 2025, which limited its export and increased supply in the domestic market, contributing to price increases," the Ministry of Economy clarified, adding that the decline in sunflower yields in Russia exacerbated the shortage and also contributed to the rise in oil prices.
Prices for dairy products, cheeses, and eggs increased by 5.5% due to seasonal reductions in milk production during the winter period, caused by a decrease in pasture feed. "Additional pressure on prices was also exerted by the rise in prices for feed, fuel, and concentrates," the agency added.
The increase in prices for alcoholic beverages and tobacco products by 8% is related to the annual increase in excise taxes on tobacco products and the rise in production and logistics costs (in the case of alcohol).
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